Tenders

Mastering the Bid/No-Bid Decision

Pursue the right opportunities and walk away from the wrong ones with confidence.

Session summary

Eliza Carbines treats bid/no-bid decisions as a way to protect commercial focus, team capacity and morale. Saying yes to every opportunity consumes more than writing time and money: it can displace better work, stretch operational staff and leave a team carrying repeated submission pressure. The session asks bidders to separate wanting a prestigious win from genuinely wanting, and being able to deliver, the work that follows.

The session presents several ways to structure the decision. A detailed question framework tests fit with the business strategy, competitive positioning and the commitment and resources needed to produce the bid. An initial negative answer prompts a further question about whether the gap can realistically be fixed; a firm negative means stopping. A shorter approach asks whether the opportunity is real, whether the organisation can win and whether it wants the work. A probability-of-win score offers another way to communicate the assessment to decision makers who prefer a numerical comparison.

Eliza explains why the decision needs to be revisited as information becomes available. An early view can change once the request documents arrive, the writing exposes gaps in the organisation's approach, or pricing and contract terms make the financial exposure clearer. A final check before submission asks whether winning would still be welcome. This gives bid managers permission to reassess rather than treating the initial decision as an obligation to continue regardless of what they learn.

Where a procurer expects a response or an existing relationship matters, Eliza recommends communicating a no-bid decision early, in writing through the nominated channel, with an honest reason and a signal of future interest. A case study shows how declining an unsuitable combined scope can leave the relationship intact. The session finishes with governance: involve the right decision makers, record the reasoning, track outcomes and use later award information to improve future decisions without judging the original call solely through hindsight.

Key takeaways

  • Assess strategic fit, realistic chances of winning and the resources needed to prepare a competitive response.
  • Distinguish wanting the work from wanting the status of winning the contract.
  • Revisit the decision when scope, strategy, pricing and contractual exposure become clearer.
  • Notify the procurer professionally when declining an expected bid, explaining the reason and future intent.
  • Record the decision and its reasoning so the business can learn from subsequent outcomes.
Eliza Carbines, CEO of Tender Relief

Presented by

Eliza Carbines

CEO of Tender Relief and CP APMP-certified bid strategist with over fifteen years in global tendering and grants. Former Chair of APMP APAC (2021–2024), WA Small Business Development Corporation Board member, and recognised across Australia as a leading voice on strategic tendering, grants, and procurement reform.

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